Analytics
Yes is at 1.7%, down 24 points from 25.5% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
The high was 25.5% on 10 Sep 2026 and the low 1% on 1 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 2.1%; a month ago, 25.5%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 6% on 17 Sep 2026.
Italy ranks seventh of the 13 outcomes in “UEFA Nations League Winner 2026-27”. Spain leads at 35.5%; France is at 20.5%.
$44.69 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $16.7K since listing. The order book holds $36.64K, with a 1.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 219 trades, $141.39 bought Yes and $7.45K bought No.
The largest Yes position is sverrekd with 3.8K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 10.4K. Ten wallets hold 95% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 14 Jun 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 11, 4:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 33 points · 10 Sep 2026 – 11 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 25.5% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 1.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.38K |
| sverrekd | Yes | 3.76K |
| Amazeicci | Yes | 3.3K |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-nations-league-winner-2026-27
1 more outcome, none above 0.1%.
| P1kaso |
| No |
| 2.46K |
| Thysten234 | Yes | 2.43K |
| Vodka- | Yes | 1.1K |
| leegunner | Yes | 392.87 |
| ZekoslavMrkva | Yes | 349.11 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 345 |
| balthazar | Yes | 316.8 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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