Analytics
Yes is at 1.7%, down 24 points from 25.5% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
The high was 25.5% on 10 Sep 2026 and the low 1.6% on 8 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 6%. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 14.5% on 15 Sep 2026.
Germany ranks seventh of the 13 outcomes in “UEFA Nations League Winner 2026-27”. Spain leads at 35.5%; France is at 20.5%.
$14.35K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $29.39K, with a 0.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 227 trades, $84.35 bought Yes and $7.9K bought No; the largest was a $1.03K buy of No at 94.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Sardonic-Mimosa with 2.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 10.4K. Ten wallets hold 94.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 14 Jun 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 10, 1:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 32 points · 10 Sep 2026 – 10 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 25.5% |
| 10 Oct 2026 | 1.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.38K |
| Sardonic-Mimosa | Yes | 2.33K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 2.1K |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-nations-league-winner-2026-27
1 more outcome, none above 0.1%.
| Thysten234 | Yes | 1.6K |
| leegunner | Yes | 1.25K |
| charlioM | Yes | 1K |
| cryplor | Yes | 615.75 |
| P1kaso | No | 510.14 |
| spackx | Yes | 400 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 346 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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