Analytics
Yes is at 17.5%, down 13 points from 30% when the market opened on 22 Jan 2026.
Across the 251 daily closes on record from 22 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (30 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 16 Jul 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 8 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 26.5%; a month before, 41.5%. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 10.5% on 7 Jun 2026.
25-29.9% ranks second of the 7 outcomes in “Argentina Annual Inflation 2026”. 30.0-34.9% leads at 75.5%; 35–39.9% is at 3.8%.
$259.87 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $23.59K since listing. The order book holds $3.55K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.68K bought Yes and $2.8K bought No.
The largest Yes position is newbie77 with 3.4K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.2K. Ten wallets hold 92.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 11 Jan 2027, 75 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 251 points, 22 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2026 | 30.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 17.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| newbie77 | Yes | 3.44K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.16K |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | No | 1.84K |
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/argentina-annual-inflation-2026
| Haradwaith | Yes | 309.02 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 242.01 |
| haouibao | Yes | 205 |
| AnCap.Investor | Yes | 200 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 152.51 |
| 387411007415611814092217897387 | Yes | 140.85 |
| rocky42006 | No | 132.94 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
