Analytics
Yes is at 4.7%, down 59 points from 63.5% when the market opened on 16 Mar 2026.
The high was 63.5% on 16 Mar 2026 and the low 4% on 4 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 7%; a month ago, 6.5%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 49.5% on 24 May 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$90.39K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $6.54K, with a 0.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.56K bought Yes and $8.81K bought No; the largest was a $2.32K buy of No at 70.0¢.
The largest Yes position is tryingmyluckhere with 7.4K shares; the largest No position is nbab with 12.7K. Ten wallets hold 66.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 71 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 5:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 212 points, 16 Mar 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2026 | 63.5% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 4.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nbab | No | 12.66K |
| tryingmyluckhere | Yes | 7.41K |
| Nomorepredict | Yes | 4K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/metamask-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| hitjnn214 |
| No |
| 3.47K |
| timebrotime | No | 2.51K |
| HandlePressure | No | 2.5K |
| yieldfarmer | No | 2.01K |
| Telluxion | No | 1.35K |
| XieGuangKun | No | 1.35K |
| yrmatata | Yes | 772.95 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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