Analytics
Yes is at 4.5%, down 41 points from 45% when the market opened on 17 Mar 2026.
Across the 211 daily closes on record from 17 Mar 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (16 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 62.5% on 30 Apr 2026 and the lowest 3.8% on 4 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.1%; a month before, 5.5%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 36.5% on 1 May 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$213.04 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $24.76K since listing. The order book holds $1.48K, with a 2.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 437 trades, $925.75 bought Yes and $6.23K bought No; the largest was a $1.17K buy of No at 64.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Nomorepredict with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is timebrotime with 892. Ten wallets hold 78.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 211 points, 17 Mar 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | 45.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 4.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Nomorepredict | Yes | 1.07K |
| timebrotime | No | 892.16 |
| SeniorLaghetto | No | 857.84 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/metamask-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| hitjnn214 |
| No |
| 751.97 |
| Keen Raven 3D7A | No | 466.9 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 367.17 |
| popdidi | Yes | 330 |
| yulinjin | Yes | 304 |
| Violet Comet B1DD | No | 277.56 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 238.46 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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