Analytics
Yes is at 1.9%, down 11 points from 12.5% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 332 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 30% on 29 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.8% on 5 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2%; a month before, 1.9%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 5.4% on 1 May 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$738.11 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $386.35K since listing. The order book holds $34.46K, with a 1.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $198.12 bought Yes and $29.76K bought No; the largest was a $12.5K buy of No at 98.6¢.
The largest Yes position is Hyperlong with 5.7K shares; the largest No position is art9393 with 15.7K. Ten wallets hold 67.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 12:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 332 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 12.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 2.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| art9393 | No | 15.73K |
| Hyperlong | Yes | 5.66K |
| Daring-Disruption | Yes | 2.63K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/metamask-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| padizo |
| Yes |
| 1.76K |
| PaddyAlpha | Yes | 1.7K |
| Impure-Anniversary | Yes | 1.47K |
| mm0003 | Yes | 1.19K |
| Rapid Maven 2EF4 | No | 918.59 |
| Affectionate-Outcome | Yes | 883.12 |
| Ricil | Yes | 871.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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