Analytics
Yes is at 2.5%, down 48 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 330 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 27 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 68.5% on 12 Nov 2025 and the lowest 2.1% on 9 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.6%; a month before, 4%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 63.5% on 7 Nov 2025.
It is one of 8 markets under “Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$50 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $430.03K since listing. The order book holds $32.91K, with a 0.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $460.28 bought Yes and $14.13K bought No; the largest was a $3.22K buy of No at 92.0¢.
The largest Yes position is cigarettes with 2.1K shares; the largest No position is zzaqq2 with 3.4K. Ten wallets hold 55.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 7:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 330 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 50.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 2.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zzaqq2 | No | 3.36K |
| Rapid Maven 2EF4 | No | 2.15K |
| cigarettes | Yes | 2.15K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/metamask-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| minigumi |
| No |
| 1.7K |
| mm0003 | Yes | 1.69K |
| PaddyAlpha | Yes | 1.19K |
| Affectionate-Outcome | Yes | 1.12K |
| Dirty-Birdwatcher | No | 988.19 |
| darksev | Yes | 912.04 |
| Cait37 | No | 849.43 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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