Analytics
Yes is at 6.4%, down 71 points from 77% when the market opened on 5 Nov 2025.
Across the 332 daily closes on record from 5 Nov 2025 to 29 Oct 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 85.5% on 7 Nov 2025 and the lowest 3.5% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.5%; a month before, 8%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 74.5% on 18 Nov 2025.
It is one of 8 markets under “Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$5.42K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $630.66K since listing. The order book holds $24.13K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $600.56 bought Yes and $18.21K bought No; the largest was a $6K buy of No at 83.1¢.
The largest Yes position is SeniorLaghetto with 7.5K shares; the largest No position is Hyperlong with 8.6K. Ten wallets hold 63.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 332 points, 5 Nov 2025 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Nov 2025 | 77.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 6.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hyperlong | No | 8.63K |
| SeniorLaghetto | Yes | 7.46K |
| hsefhsjdkfs | No | 7.22K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/metamask-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| mm0002 |
| Yes |
| 5.74K |
| minigumi | No | 2.5K |
| LemonBrothers | Yes | 2.08K |
| Avoc | No | 1.76K |
| mm0001 | Yes | 1.74K |
| clingtastic | No | 1.64K |
| Affectionate-Outcome | Yes | 1.6K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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