Analytics
Dirty-Birdwatcher has made $10.16K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 8K | $0.885 | $7.4K | +$315.75 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-21 19:01 UTC
Polymarket public position response
32 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 06:00 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 06:00 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-21 19:01 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $25.29K and losing ones cost $14.46K across the latest 50 settled positions. 66% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.53K on “USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?” (Yes); the largest loss, $4.51K on “Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?” (Yes).
It has traded 392 markets. Its open positions are worth $30.18K across 32 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 8K |
| $0.634 |
| $5.32K |
| +$248.62 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.99K | $0.432 | $3.09K | +$72.43 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 4.2K | $0.785 | $3.05K | -$246.09 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | 4.08K | $0.680 | $2.72K | -$52.7 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 5.16K | $0.731 | $2.17K | -$1.61K |
 Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 988.19 | $0.870 | $964.97 | +$105.24 |
 Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.607 | $817.5 | -$92.5 |
 Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Yes | 954.54 | $0.671 | $672.95 | +$32.41 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | No | 709 | $0.763 | $623.92 | +$82.99 |
 Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 603 | $0.917 | $587.93 | +$34.73 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 1.78K | $0.650 | $454.02 | -$703.29 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 500 | $0.820 | $432.5 | +$22.5 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 6.34K | $0.313 | $351.73 | -$1.63K |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 3.58K | $0.361 | $232.69 | -$1.06K |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 318.09 | $0.550 | $211.53 | +$36.58 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.01K | $0.256 | $168.1 | -$90.39 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 1.03K | $0.598 | $159.65 | -$456.25 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 163.79 | $0.776 | $151.92 | +$24.8 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 153.97 | $0.681 | $108.55 | +$3.69 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? | Yes | 7.52K | $0.041 | $105.28 | -$203.04 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 904.43 | $0.692 | $104.01 | -$522.12 |
 Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 77.92 | $0.810 | $75.62 | +$12.51 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? | Yes | 2.74K | $0.031 | $45.15 | -$38.68 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | Yes | 2K | $0.040 | $45 | -$35.01 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
