Analytics
Yes is at 1.6%, down 46 points from 47.5% when the market opened on 30 Jan 2026.
Across the 247 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 47.5% on 30 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 30 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.8%; a month before, 1.6%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 20% on 31 Jan 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?”.
$122.34 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $76.99K since listing. The order book holds $37.45K, with a 0.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.02K bought Yes and $21.16K bought No; the largest was a $2.65K buy of No at 96.4¢.
The largest Yes position is AvidMound2949 with 5.6K shares; the largest No position is Alegrandebig with 6.7K. Ten wallets hold 59.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 247 points, 30 Jan 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | 47.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 1.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Alegrandebig | No | 6.65K |
| AvidMound2949 | Yes | 5.57K |
| yzj123 | Yes | 3.41K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures. If the official settlement price for any relevant trading day has not been published on the CME Group website within 72 hours of the final trading day (ET) of the specified period, the market will resolve based on the settlement prices published through all CME channels up to that point.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-gold-gc-hit-by-end-of-december
| esports095 |
| No |
| 2.74K |
| Dirty-Birdwatcher | Yes | 2.74K |
| Betttttttttnn | No | 2.5K |
| DarthTyranus | Yes | 2.34K |
| JanAMEX | No | 2.05K |
| Jmn | No | 2.02K |
| Starryplough | Yes | 2.01K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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