Analytics
Yes is at 27.5%, up 18 points from 9.5% when the market opened on 19 Feb 2026.
Across the 234 daily closes on record from 19 Feb 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (16 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 32.9% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 19 Apr 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 20.3%; a month before, 17.5%. Its largest one-day move was 8.2 points down, to 15.2% on 2 Jul 2026.
It is one of 13 markets under “Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$8.88K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $353.91K since listing. The order book holds $31.17K, with a 2.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $8.47K bought Yes and $48.31K bought No; the largest was a $4.28K buy of No at 80.0¢.
The largest Yes position is alphaalii with 51.2K shares; the largest No position is DavidTrezeguet with 9.7K. Ten wallets hold 64.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 8:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 234 points, 19 Feb 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Feb 2026 | 9.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 27.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| alphaalii | Yes | 51.24K |
| -Yang- | Yes | 31.04K |
| DavidTrezeguet | No | 9.67K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/predictfun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
1 more market, none above 8.0%.
| Crazy-Voyage |
| No |
| 9K |
| aa9872aa | Yes | 5.98K |
| deltasniper | No | 5K |
| sdiff123 | No | 5K |
| alanhutton | No | 5K |
| Dirty-Birdwatcher | No | 4.2K |
| Vitaaalya | No | 3.74K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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