Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 7.82K | $0.806 | $5.9K | -$401.72 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 320.85 | $0.760 | $243.85 | 3h ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.12K |
| $0.875 |
| $2.01K |
| +$147.7 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 1.53K | $0.530 | $836.37 | +$23.02 |
| Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 2.19K | $0.242 | $691.1 | +$159.38 |
 Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | No | 650 | $0.689 | $562.25 | +$114.25 |
| Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 1.57K | $0.224 | $495.02 | +$142.98 |
 Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 368.96 | $0.750 | $354.76 | +$78.04 |
 Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 293.37 | $0.900 | $288.53 | +$24.5 |
| Will AfD win between 32% and 35% of all valid second votes? | No | 175.58 | $0.760 | $136.95 | +$3.51 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? | Yes | 300 | $0.319 | $127.5 | +$31.65 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.17K | $0.066 | $106.57 | -$36.27 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 49.25 | $0.520 | $29.55 | +$3.94 |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | Yes | 50.34 | $0.350 | $19.89 | +$2.27 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 15 | $0.380 | $12.98 | +$7.28 |
 Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 467.24 | $0.006 | $1.4 | -$1.4 |
 Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.1 | $0.940 | $1.08 | +$0.05 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 0.22 | $0.880 | $0.19 | +$0 |
| buy |
| 1.13K |
| $0.530 |
| $598.2 |
| 1d ago |
 Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 40.16 | $0.050 | $2.01 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.050 | $0.25 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 5.88K | $0.030 | $176.28 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 207 | $0.110 | $22.77 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.070 | $7.7 | 3d ago |
| Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.930 | $1.02K | 3d ago |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.52K | $0.980 | $1.48K | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 2.31K | $0.253 | $584.53 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 900 | $0.740 | $666 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 1.57K | $0.224 | $352.04 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 2.19K | $0.242 | $531.71 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win between 32% and 35% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 150 | $0.760 | $114 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 6.12K | $0.816 | $4.99K | 3d ago |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?Over | buy | 24.71 | $0.576 | $14.24 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 6K | $0.890 | $5.34K | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 6K | $0.690 | $4.14K | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.170 | $25.5 | 3d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.37K | $0.500 | $1.18K | 5d ago |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.43K | $0.810 | $3.59K | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.37K | $0.540 | $1.28K | 5d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 7.51K | $0.093 | $696.4 | 5d ago |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 174.88 | $0.860 | $150.4 | 15d ago |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 293.37 | $0.900 | $264.03 | 22d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 999.99 | $0.635 | $635.3 | 22d ago |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Yes | buy | 234.85 | $0.319 | $75 | 22d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.809 | $404.49 | 22d ago |
| Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 2.54K | $0.874 | $2.22K | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | sell | 1.8K | $0.341 | $614.03 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 4K | $0.380 | $1.52K | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.620 | $1.24K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | sell | 1.18K | $0.560 | $658.49 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 6.08K | $0.160 | $971.9 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 10K | $0.998 | $9.98K | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 55 by July 31?No | buy | 155 | $0.990 | $153.45 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by July 31?No | buy | 663 | $0.995 | $659.69 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by July 31?No | buy | 4.95K | $0.997 | $4.94K | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 65 by July 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.980 | $49 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 70 by July 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.980 | $980 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.973 | $9.73K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by July 31?No | buy | 600 | $0.990 | $594 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.14K | $0.927 | $3.84K | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Squid launch a token by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 257.76 | $0.700 | $180.35 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Squid launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 195.83 | $0.660 | $129.25 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.41K | $0.770 | $1.86K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 107.3 | $0.006 | $0.64 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 139 | $0.096 | $13.34 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by July 31?No | buy | 55 | $0.980 | $53.9 | Jul 25, 2026 |