Analytics
Yes is at 0.4%, down 51 points from 51.5% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 67% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 24 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 67% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 24?”.
$85.44K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $94.72K since listing. The order book holds $44.45K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is TwilightTide with 19.7K shares; the largest No position is ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing with 13K. Ten wallets hold 73.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 24 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 12:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 51.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 0.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TwilightTide | Yes | 19.72K |
| ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | No | 12.96K |
| Navigator77 | No | 8.32K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-24-2026
| baba1443 | No | 7.6K |
| gobblewobble | No | 4.95K |
| bogaboga | Yes | 2.94K |
| robert-mukhametov | No | 2.47K |
| ftrxc64afn | Yes | 2.04K |
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 1.56K |
| ComTruise | Yes | 1.52K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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