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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 10? | No | 381.23 | $0.830 | $312.61 | -$3.81 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 10? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will it rain in Chicago, IL on September 9?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.180 | $1.29 | 13m ago |
 |
| No |
| 235.1 |
| $0.836 |
| $199.84 |
| +$3.27 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 220.34 | $0.780 | $195 | +$23.07 |
 Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.199 | $189.51 | -$28.84 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 460.86 | $0.406 | $186.65 | -$0.49 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 9? | Yes | 580.12 | $0.300 | $171.13 | -$2.96 |
 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 10? | No | 158.09 | $0.867 | $149.39 | +$12.32 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 9? | No | 181.9 | $0.830 | $141.88 | -$9.1 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 259.45 | $0.365 | $138.8 | +$44.21 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 10? | Yes | 481.6 | $0.330 | $134.85 | -$24.08 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 10? | Yes | 433.52 | $0.290 | $127.89 | +$2.17 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 202.18 | $0.585 | $122.32 | +$4.05 |
 Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026? | Yes | 141.79 | $0.660 | $121.94 | +$28.36 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10? | Yes | 197.35 | $0.480 | $119.4 | +$24.67 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | No | 139.68 | $0.810 | $109.65 | -$3.49 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 397.75 | $0.180 | $109.38 | +$37.79 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 118.14 | $0.801 | $106.32 | +$11.71 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 158.96 | $0.730 | $100.94 | -$15.1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on September 10? | No | 114 | $0.840 | $98.61 | +$2.85 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on September 10? | No | 136.41 | $0.740 | $98.22 | -$2.73 |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 9? | Yes | 224.32 | $0.420 | $95.34 | +$1.12 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 10? | No | 111.38 | $0.730 | $87.43 | +$6.13 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 615.65 | $0.353 | $76.96 | -$140.17 |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 10? | No | 93.86 | $0.780 | $74.62 | +$1.41 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9? | Yes | 148.89 | $0.345 | $72.96 | +$21.57 |
| buy |
| 1.32 |
| $0.890 |
| $1.17 |
| 35m ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 9?No | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | 36m ago |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?Yes | buy | 33.21 | $0.340 | $11.29 | 36m ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on September 9?Yes | buy | 16.03 | $0.929 | $14.89 | 39m ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 258.26 | $0.410 | $105.89 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 9?Yes | sell | 0.72 | $0.170 | $0.12 | 2h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 9?Yes | sell | 117.37 | $0.070 | $8.26 | 2h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 9?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.140 | $1.12 | 2h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 25.21 | $0.150 | $3.78 | 2h ago |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 101 | $0.191 | $19.25 | 2h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 9?Yes | sell | 3.31 | $0.820 | $2.71 | 2h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 96.86 | $0.149 | $14.45 | 3h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 8.4 | $0.710 | $5.96 | 3h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 9?Yes | sell | 159.62 | $0.980 | $156.43 | 3h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 9?Yes | sell | 85.14 | $0.980 | $83.44 | 3h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 9?Yes | sell | 75.21 | $0.980 | $73.71 | 3h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 9?Yes | sell | 51.54 | $0.980 | $50.51 | 3h ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 9?No | buy | 29.69 | $0.976 | $28.96 | 3h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 9?Yes | sell | 75.29 | $0.980 | $73.78 | 3h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 9?No | sell | 14.95 | $0.938 | $14.03 | 3h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 9?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.740 | $3.77 | 4h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 9?No | buy | 9.86 | $0.740 | $7.3 | 4h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 13.88 | $0.176 | $2.45 | 4h ago |
 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 15, 2026?No | buy | 46.71 | $0.903 | $42.18 | 4h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 10?No | buy | 11.53 | $0.770 | $8.88 | 6h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 10?No | buy | 12.89 | $0.770 | $9.93 | 6h ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.930 | $10.73 | 8h ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 13.18 | $0.880 | $11.6 | 8h ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on September 9?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.490 | $2.65 | 9h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 9?No | sell | 96.09 | $0.999 | $95.99 | 9h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 9?No | sell | 16.78 | $0.999 | $16.76 | 9h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on September 9?No | sell | 6.61 | $0.999 | $6.6 | 9h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 9?No | sell | 210.18 | $0.990 | $208.08 | 9h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on September 9?No | sell | 53.79 | $0.999 | $53.74 | 9h ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on September 9?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.590 | $3.2 | 9h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 9?Yes | sell | 23.44 | $0.960 | $22.5 | 9h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 9?No | sell | 122.58 | $0.961 | $117.82 | 9h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on September 9?No | sell | 276.96 | $0.990 | $274.19 | 10h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on September 10?No | buy | 114 | $0.840 | $95.76 | 10h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 9?Yes | sell | 43.29 | $0.960 | $41.56 | 10h ago |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Yes | buy | 243.34 | $0.150 | $36.5 | 11h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 9?Yes | sell | 26.2 | $0.960 | $25.15 | 11h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 9?Yes | sell | 10.17 | $0.960 | $9.76 | 11h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 9?Yes | sell | 24.75 | $0.312 | $7.73 | 12h ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 9?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.687 | $4.29 | 12h ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 40.8 | $0.110 | $4.49 | 12h ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on September 9?No | sell | 6.29 | $0.023 | $0.15 | 12h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.890 | $21.19 | 12h ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on September 9?No | buy | 6.29 | $0.610 | $3.84 | 12h ago |