Analytics
Yes is at 96.2%, up 8.2 points from 88% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
The high was 96.2% on 22 Oct 2026 and the low 88% on 19 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.4 points up, to 95.9% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 25?”.
$3.13K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $6.48K since listing. The order book holds $37.72K, with a 2.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 31 trades, $4.18K bought Yes and $51 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 4.7K shares; the largest No position is gt197 with 3K.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 10:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 88.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 96.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 4.71K |
| gt197 | No | 3K |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | No | 713.73 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-25-2026
| suntori |
| No |
| 386.51 |
| 196874353278 | No | 346.99 |
| Xavyc3 | No | 162 |
| PBot-10 | No | 160 |
| apper | Yes | 151 |
| coinman2 | No | 70.61 |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | No | 42.45 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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