Analytics
Yes is at 49%, down 2.5 points from 51.5% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 66% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 49% on 23 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 66% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 25?”.
$3K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.36K since listing. The order book holds $37.31K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 41 trades, $125.22 bought Yes and $1.71K bought No.
The largest Yes position is coinfilippe with 860 shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 3.3K. Ten wallets hold 97% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 6:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 51.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 49.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | No | 3.25K |
| coinfilippe | Yes | 860 |
| gt197 | Yes | 846.7 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-25-2026
| Rapid Maven 7394 |
| Yes |
| 809.5 |
| Tokor | Yes | 502.04 |
| apper | Yes | 291 |
| PBot-10 | No | 252.68 |
| lara.i | Yes | 143.1 |
| Monica67 | Yes | 112.68 |
| PatoBlindado | No | 97.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
