Analytics
Yes is at 97.4%, up 24 points from 73% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
The high was 97.4% on 21 Oct 2026 and the low 73% on 19 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 88% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 25?”.
$3.74K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $6.67K since listing. The order book holds $26.39K, with a 1.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 39 trades, $4.85K bought Yes and $282.96 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 2K shares; the largest No position is gt197 with 2.8K.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 21, 9:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 73.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 97.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gt197 | No | 2.84K |
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 1.98K |
| Pellepele | Yes | 1.09K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-25-2026
| apper |
| Yes |
| 208 |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | No | 169.93 |
| PBot-10 | No | 160 |
| Xavyc3 | No | 143.99 |
| Coral Meteor 57FE | Yes | 119.88 |
| kingofcoinflips | No | 117 |
| 196874353278 | No | 116 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
