Analytics
Yes is at 7%, down 7 points from 14% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
The high was 14% on 19 Oct 2026 and the low 7% on 22 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 7% on 22 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 25?”.
$131.84 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.1K since listing. The order book holds $20.29K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 24 trades, $99.38 bought Yes and $1.14K bought No; the largest was a $1.12K buy of No at 95.0¢.
The largest Yes position is coinman2 with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is win-ok with 1.2K.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 6:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 5%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 14.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 7.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| coinman2 | Yes | 1.18K |
| win-ok | No | 1.18K |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 480.58 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-25-2026
| Lovebirdtrader |
| Yes |
| 207.19 |
| Clear-Gelding | Yes | 200 |
| Darthc0der | Yes | 166.5 |
| Tokor | No | 161.5 |
| PBot-10 | Yes | 160 |
| gt197 | No | 111.85 |
| bountyhunter001 | Yes | 24 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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