Analytics
Yes is at 99.7%, up 1.9 points from 97.8% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.7% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 97.8% on 19 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 25?”.
$4.68K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $39.95K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 22 trades, $4.59K bought Yes and $0 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 4.7K shares; the largest No position is gt197 with 2.8K.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 12:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 97.8% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 99.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 4.68K |
| gt197 | No | 2.76K |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | No | 1.73K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-25-2026
| 196874353278 |
| No |
| 180 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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