Analytics
Yes is at 11%, down 18 points from 29% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 35.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 11% on 22 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 35.5% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 25?”.
$7.06K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.34K since listing. The order book holds $37.09K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 32 trades, $172.33 bought Yes and $1.78K bought No; the largest was a $2.07K sell of No at 70.0¢.
The largest Yes position is easyclap with 1.6K shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 2.6K. Ten wallets hold 98.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 3:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 29.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 11.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | No | 2.64K |
| easyclap | Yes | 1.56K |
| gt197 | Yes | 337.56 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-25-2026
| Tokor |
| Yes |
| 255 |
| BlackieL | Yes | 216 |
| PBot-10 | Yes | 161.73 |
| klx | Yes | 29.13 |
| bountyhunter001 | Yes | 24 |
| ddd1d43 | Yes | 10 |
| addl12 | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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