Analytics
Yes is at 1.3%, down 4.3 points from 5.5% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 5.5% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.3% on 22 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 25?”.
$3.4K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.77K since listing. The order book holds $35.74K, with a 0.10% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 29 trades, $34.91 bought Yes and $3.33K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Rapid Maven 7394 with 2.4K shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 3.4K.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 3:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 5.5% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 1.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | No | 3.36K |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | Yes | 2.37K |
| capitalistbet | Yes | 595.01 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-25-2026
| Xavyc3 | Yes | 530 |
| gt197 | No | 260 |
| elrah | No | 162.94 |
| PBot-10 | Yes | 160 |
| jonathanolveraj | Yes | 106.44 |
| Clear-Gelding | Yes | 60 |
| kingofcoinflips | No | 28.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
