Analytics
Yes is at 19.5%, down 64 points from 83.5% when the market opened on 25 Nov 2025.
Across the 311 daily closes on record from 25 Nov 2025 to 24 Oct 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 92% on 15 Jan 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 11 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 20.5%; a month before, 37.5%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 43.5% on 22 Sep 2026.
It is one of 30 markets under “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?”.
$4.84K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.95M since listing. The order book holds $87K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $10.04K bought Yes and $29.89K bought No; the largest was a $7.56K sell of Yes at 21.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Tokor with 66.9K shares; the largest No position is floatingraft with 250K. Ten wallets hold 46.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 10:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 311 points, 25 Nov 2025 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | 83.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 19.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| floatingraft | No | 250K |
| Serene-Decision | No | 98.76K |
| intothethickofit | No | 67.67K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027
18 more markets, none above 3.1%.
| Tokor | Yes | 66.85K |
| BTCmaxi | Yes | 61.91K |
| ballinco | No | 42.55K |
| Amber Tide 0022 | Yes | 42.08K |
| justanother1 | Yes | 35.73K |
| allen114 | Yes | 35.13K |
| bitterfish | No | 32.81K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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