Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 8.11K | $0.940 | $7.99K | +$360.97 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.200 | $241.26 | 8d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 47.24K |
| $0.209 |
| $6.38K |
| -$3.5K |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 26.31K | $0.201 | $4.34K | -$941.78 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.77K | $0.210 | $867.75 | +$75.46 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 4.64K | $0.200 | $672.22 | -$254.98 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 365.24 | $0.384 | $183.53 | +$43.28 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 531.79 | $0.267 | $75.78 | -$66.21 |
| buy |
| 11.27 |
| $0.988 |
| $11.13 |
| 18d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 8.56K | $0.940 | $8.04K | 18d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 4.15K | $0.960 | $3.98K | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 6.26K | $0.940 | $5.88K | 24d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.44K | $0.200 | $688.07 | 28d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | buy | 998.98 | $0.990 | $988.99 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 868.67 | $0.200 | $173.73 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.32K | $0.160 | $371.94 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?No | buy | 2.09K | $0.920 | $1.93K | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | buy | 1K | $0.900 | $903.99 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 352.17 | $0.920 | $324 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 8.74K | $0.699 | $6.11K | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?No | buy | 949 | $0.951 | $902.5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 329.9 | $0.920 | $303.51 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No | buy | 33.3 | $0.964 | $32.1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 35.03 | $0.990 | $34.68 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | sell | 8.57K | $0.579 | $4.96K | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?Yes | buy | 242.56 | $0.952 | $230.92 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No | buy | 7.97K | $0.920 | $7.33K | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 8.94K | $0.900 | $8.04K | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No | buy | 6.32K | $0.990 | $6.26K | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.974 | $0.97 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.64 | $0.623 | $11.61 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.64 | $0.918 | $17.12 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 23.99 | $0.940 | $22.55 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 14.83 | $0.988 | $14.65 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 32.29 | $0.899 | $29.03 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 176.84 | $0.250 | $44.21 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 60.42 | $0.698 | $42.19 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No | sell | 140.91 | $0.666 | $93.91 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?Yes | buy | 52.18 | $0.932 | $48.63 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 60.42 | $0.900 | $54.38 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 43.14 | $0.960 | $41.41 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | buy | 1.61K | $0.200 | $322.97 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 310.51 | $0.200 | $62.1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 2.27K | $0.961 | $2.18K | May 17, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 18?No | buy | 2.96K | $0.960 | $2.84K | May 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 8.47K | $0.695 | $5.88K | May 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No | buy | 8.94K | $0.900 | $8.04K | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 8.74K | $0.623 | $5.44K | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 8.94K | $0.636 | $5.69K | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.22K | $0.920 | $4.8K | May 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.900 | $930.06 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No | buy | 2.79K | $0.960 | $2.68K | May 2, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?No | buy | 699.34 | $0.976 | $682.56 | May 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.62K | $0.920 | $6.09K | May 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.930 | $1.11K | May 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 3.36K | $0.920 | $3.09K | May 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.8K | $0.940 | $5.45K | May 1, 2026 |