Analytics
LlamaLoco0000 has made $347.57K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 489.78K | $0.902 | $421.94K | -$19.86K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-06 15:26 UTC
Polymarket public position response
38 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 17:46 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 17:46 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-06 15:26 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.53M and losing ones cost $824.73K across the latest 50 settled positions. 44% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $586.58K on “China x Philippines military clash before 2027?” (Yes); the largest loss, $99.28K on “Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?” (Yes).
It has traded 429 markets. Its open positions are worth $975.82K across 38 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 404.96K |
| $0.611 |
| $217.67K |
| -$29.74K |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 303.98K | $0.315 | $68.39K | -$27.4K |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 331.65K | $0.228 | $59.7K | -$16.06K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 200K | $0.202 | $41K | +$616.2 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 300.68K | $0.394 | $29.92K | -$88.53K |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 257.73K | $0.108 | $27.06K | -$900.68 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 477.36K | $0.210 | $26.25K | -$73.82K |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 284.87K | $0.248 | $24.21K | -$46.49K |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 373.3K | $0.110 | $16.24K | -$24.92K |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | Yes | 12.24K | $0.620 | $9.61K | +$2.02K |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 55.8K | $0.305 | $5.41K | -$11.61K |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 110.42K | $0.067 | $4.03K | -$3.38K |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | Yes | 70.94K | $0.138 | $3.55K | -$6.23K |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 62.18K | $0.266 | $3.48K | -$13.06K |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 122.77K | $0.168 | $3.38K | -$17.3K |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | Yes | 124.18K | $0.073 | $3.17K | -$5.91K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 25.51K | $0.359 | $2.17K | -$6.99K |
 Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? | Yes | 8.49K | $0.500 | $1.95K | -$2.29K |
 NATO article 5 before 2027? | Yes | 28.41K | $0.140 | $1.41K | -$2.57K |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | Yes | 16.89K | $0.206 | $844.28 | -$2.63K |
 Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)? | Yes | 848.65 | $0.747 | $823.19 | +$189.39 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 8.64K | $0.377 | $734.01 | -$2.52K |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.49K | $0.194 | $470.71 | -$206.43 |
 Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.96K | $0.084 | $443.34 | -$308.46 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
