Analytics
Yes is at 74%, up 15 points from 59.5% when the market opened on 24 Apr 2026.
Across the 178 daily closes on record from 24 Apr 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 77% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 19.5% on 15 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 77%; a month before, 68%. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 53% on 30 Aug 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?”.
$261.67 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $114.8K since listing. The order book holds $25.27K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $8.5K bought Yes and $5.25K bought No; the largest was a $2.44K sell of Yes at 73.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Barkshire-Hathaway with 5K shares; the largest No position is 1660S.eth with 4K. Ten wallets hold 57.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 178 points, 24 Apr 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2026 | 59.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 74.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Barkshire-Hathaway | Yes | 5K |
| 1660S.eth | No | 3.99K |
| Plush-Origin | No | 3.93K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-xi-meet-with-takaichi-by
| fqy2026 |
| Yes |
| 3.66K |
| Aged-Temporariness | Yes | 3.42K |
| Haozenlin | Yes | 2.23K |
| Rapid-Jicama | Yes | 2.13K |
| Maru.lucky.nala.lenu | Yes | 1.48K |
| OneDollarBot | Yes | 1.24K |
| Swift Pioneer FDB4 | No | 1.19K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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