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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.7K | $0.654 | $1.26K | -$509.49 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 49.9 | $0.200 | $9.98 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.27K |
| $0.491 |
| $1.05K |
| +$423.45 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 1.05K | $0.784 | $985.65 | +$158.81 |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.3K | $0.595 | $848.62 | +$78.06 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 1K | $0.740 | $805 | +$65 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.581 | $787.5 | -$83.5 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 840 | $0.710 | $718.2 | +$121.8 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 700 | $0.666 | $577.5 | +$111.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.513 | $555.5 | -$8.5 |
 Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | Yes | 600 | $0.620 | $465 | +$93 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.600 | $342 | +$102 |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31? | Yes | 346.65 | $0.783 | $299.85 | +$28.47 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 300 | $0.740 | $286.5 | +$64.5 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.530 | $266 | +$54 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 519.99 | $0.508 | $241.8 | -$22.4 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 250 | $0.690 | $211.25 | +$38.75 |
 Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | Yes | 502.27 | $0.282 | $107.99 | -$33.81 |
 Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? | Yes | 50.84 | $0.690 | $42.2 | +$7.12 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | No | 300 | $0.120 | $31.35 | -$4.65 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| buy |
| 74.03 |
| $0.640 |
| $47.38 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.57 | $0.630 | $45.09 | 1d ago |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | 1d ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.360 | $18 | 4d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | 4d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 3.38K | $0.977 | $3.3K | 4d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.740 | $148 | 4d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 800 | $0.740 | $592 | 4d ago |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | 4d ago |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?Yes | buy | 241.62 | $0.780 | $188.46 | 4d ago |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 247.28 | $0.590 | $145.9 | 8d ago |
 Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.199 | $8.16 | 9d ago |
 Will Iran target Kuwait by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | 9d ago |
 Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.098 | $9.8 | 9d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.550 | $330 | 11d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.530 | $212 | 11d ago |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.580 | $174 | 12d ago |
| Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?Yes | buy | 15.09 | $0.420 | $6.34 | 13d ago |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.580 | $174 | 13d ago |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.600 | $102 | 13d ago |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.600 | $240 | 13d ago |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.590 | $44.25 | 13d ago |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | 13d ago |
| Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.350 | $2.14 | 15d ago |
| Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.340 | $34 | 15d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?No | sell | 29.99 | $0.028 | $0.84 | 18d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.060 | $1.8 | 21d ago |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | sell | 578.6 | $0.086 | $49.55 | 21d ago |
| Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.650 | $195 | 21d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 1.27K | $0.950 | $1.21K | 22d ago |
| Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?Yes | buy | 50.84 | $0.690 | $35.08 | 22d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.750 | $450 | 22d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.600 | $240 | 25d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 200 | $0.560 | $112 | 27d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.050 | $10 | 27d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.520 | $520 | 27d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.790 | $790 | 27d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 1.8K | $0.974 | $1.75K | 27d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 999.99 | $0.670 | $669.99 | 27d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.9K | $0.320 | $608 | 27d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | sell | 72.22 | $0.765 | $55.24 | 27d ago |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.670 | $24.12 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | buy | 340 | $0.710 | $241.4 | 28d ago |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 219.99 | $0.410 | $90.2 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.690 | $207 | 29d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.130 | $26 | 29d ago |
 Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | 29d ago |
| Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.510 | $51 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 30 | $0.750 | $22.5 | Aug 8, 2026 |