Analytics
Yes is at 9%, down 35 points from 43.5% when the market opened on 30 Sep 2026.
Across the 27 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 43.5% on 30 Sep 2026 and the lowest 6% on 1 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 6% on 1 Oct 2026.
$853.23 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $648.67, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 27 trades, $36.46 bought Yes and $276.5 bought No.
The largest Yes position is goask with 289 shares; the largest No position is DEGENKHAN with 384.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 64 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 5:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 30 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 43.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 9.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DEGENKHAN | No | 383.98 |
| goask | Yes | 288.95 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 118.35 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits a giant panda by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump being physically present in the same location as a giant panda, including any habitat, exhibit, viewing area. The panda does not need to be a specific named panda, and the location is not limited to any particular zoo or venue. Trump may be physically separated from the giant panda in any capacity, e.g. through exhibit glass, a fence, or a transport enclosure, so long as Trump is in the immediate presence of the giant panda. Being present elsewhere within the same zoo, park, or venue, without being in the immediate presence of a giant panda, will not qualify. This market will resolve "Yes" regardless of whether Trump is photographed with, interacts with, or otherwise engages the panda, as long as he is physically present with a giant panda during the specified timeframe. The primary resolution source for this information will be official statements from the relevant venue, the White House, or Trump's verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS or https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-visit-any-pandas-in-2026
| from00 |
| Yes |
| 110.6 |
| Piskolini | No | 70.33 |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 44.38 |
| zxdfbdfgngcxv | No | 26.32 |
| Luminous-Insectarium | Yes | 6.25 |
| Wordy-Doctrine | Yes | 5 |
| F00Fi | No | 2.6 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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