Analytics
Luminous-Insectarium has made $961.94 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.13K | $0.896 | $1.06K | +$54.91 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 08:05 UTC
Polymarket public position response
40 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 11:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 11:26 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-16 08:05 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $2.15K and losing ones cost $1.14K across the latest 50 settled positions. 88% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $199.74 on “US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $518.2 on “US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?” (No).
It has traded 245 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.94K across 40 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.12K |
| $0.893 |
| $1.05K |
| +$51.39 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.21K | $0.747 | $934.38 | +$33.38 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | No | 240.62 | $0.842 | $233.28 | +$30.78 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | No | 162.09 | $0.925 | $150.17 | +$0.17 |
 US imports Russian diesel by December 31? | Yes | 105.75 | $0.870 | $89.36 | -$2.64 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | Yes | 89.29 | $0.560 | $71.43 | +$21.43 |
 Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | Yes | 418.21 | $0.119 | $56.46 | +$6.46 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 61.74 | $0.810 | $50.32 | +$0.31 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | No | 152.27 | $0.328 | $39.59 | -$10.41 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 142.28 | $0.246 | $37.7 | +$2.7 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 28.74 | $0.870 | $25.72 | +$0.72 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 26.32 | $0.760 | $20.53 | +$0.53 |
 Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? | No | 22.47 | $0.890 | $18.09 | -$1.91 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 15.53 | $0.709 | $11.8 | +$0.8 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.32 | $0.893 | $11.77 | +$0.77 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | No | 11.12 | $0.899 | $10.92 | +$0.92 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 66.96 | $0.149 | $9.04 | -$0.96 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5.19 | +$0.19 |
 Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by October 31? | No | 5.11 | $0.978 | $4.96 | -$0.04 |
 Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? | No | 21.04 | $0.237 | $4.42 | -$0.58 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.340 | $3.97 | -$6.03 |
 Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | No | 16.95 | $0.590 | $3.39 | -$6.61 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | No | 3.8 | $0.790 | $3.15 | +$0.15 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
