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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 32.14K | $0.950 | $30.84K | +$305.69 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Unity win 2% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 46.94 | $0.999 | $46.89 | 2h ago |
 |
| No |
| 22.87K |
| $0.931 |
| $21.85K |
| +$549.85 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 21.66K | $0.951 | $20.83K | +$235.51 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 17.03K | $0.992 | $16.95K | +$54.56 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 15.72K | $0.917 | $15.21K | +$797.72 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 11.47K | $0.952 | $11.29K | +$375.27 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 11.52K | $0.916 | $11.16K | +$602.19 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.29K | $0.884 | $10.56K | +$579.84 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 10.29K | $0.913 | $9.72K | +$329.54 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 9.58K | $0.928 | $9.28K | +$395.42 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 10.62K | $0.787 | $8.97K | +$614.88 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 10.17K | $0.592 | $8.49K | +$2.47K |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 8.19K | $0.999 | $8.18K | -$4.09 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 7.21K | $0.971 | $7.16K | +$161.05 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 6.86K | $0.673 | $6.36K | +$1.74K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 6.16K | $0.838 | $5.76K | +$598.3 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 6.14K | $0.937 | $5.73K | -$22.72 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.06K | $0.905 | $5.73K | +$241.2 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.95K | $0.843 | $5.38K | +$369.47 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Yes | 4.63K | $0.936 | $4.52K | +$192.73 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 4.71K | $0.938 | $4.49K | +$72.9 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 4.5K | $0.937 | $4.44K | +$216.56 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.92K | $0.514 | $4.4K | +$836.09 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.39K | $0.919 | $4.19K | +$156.85 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 11.25K | $0.559 | $4.11K | -$2.19K |
| buy |
| 186.33 |
| $0.999 |
| $186.14 |
| 2h ago |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in August?No | buy | 8.51 | $0.984 | $8.37 | 2h ago |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 111.99 | $0.710 | $79.51 | 2h ago |
 Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | 2h ago |
 Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No | buy | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | 2h ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | 2h ago |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.820 | $4.82 | 2h ago |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 23.64 | $0.860 | $20.33 | 2h ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Yes | buy | 14.92 | $0.630 | $9.4 | 2h ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.18K | $0.650 | $2.07K | 2h ago |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.280 | $5.19 | 2h ago |
 Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.180 | $0.72 | 2h ago |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 86.29 | $0.948 | $81.8 | 2h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.58K | $0.350 | $901.85 | 2h ago |
 Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 32.68 | $0.999 | $32.65 | 2h ago |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 256.8 | $0.623 | $159.99 | 2h ago |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 7.38 | $0.566 | $4.18 | 2h ago |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.350 | $5.83 | 2h ago |
 Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 6.27 | $0.170 | $1.07 | 2h ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 364.37 | $0.500 | $182.19 | 2h ago |
 Will Alexander Isak (Liverpool) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.120 | $1.08 | 2h ago |
 Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | buy | 91.64 | $0.036 | $3.3 | 2h ago |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 32.68 | $0.990 | $32.35 | 2h ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 202.19 | $0.010 | $2.02 | 2h ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 345 | $0.510 | $175.95 | 2h ago |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | buy | 94.25 | $0.090 | $8.48 | 2h ago |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 32.69 | $0.803 | $26.25 | 2h ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.28 | $0.927 | $12.31 | 2h ago |
 Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 32.68 | $0.999 | $32.65 | 2h ago |
 Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.510 | $6.38 | 2h ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 209.43 | $0.870 | $182.2 | 2h ago |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 16.96 | $0.994 | $16.86 | 2h ago |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 6.6 | $0.159 | $1.05 | 2h ago |
| Will João Pedro (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?No | sell | 6.9 | $0.850 | $5.87 | 2h ago |
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.050 | $1.05 | 2h ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 148.63 | $0.008 | $1.19 | 2h ago |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 5.7 | $0.810 | $4.62 | 2h ago |
 Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 197.97 | $0.996 | $197.18 | 2h ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 17.42 | $0.560 | $9.76 | 2h ago |
 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 18.91 | $0.651 | $12.31 | 2h ago |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 66.5 | $0.470 | $31.26 | 2h ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 50.2 | $0.475 | $23.85 | 2h ago |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes | sell | 9.25 | $0.530 | $4.9 | 2h ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 7.54 | $0.640 | $4.83 | 2h ago |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?No | buy | 45.19 | $0.981 | $44.33 | 2h ago |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Yes | buy | 40.48 | $0.140 | $5.67 | 2h ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.910 | $26.39 | 2h ago |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?No | buy | 15 | $0.986 | $14.79 | 2h ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.989 | $6.18 | 2h ago |