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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | No | 10 | $0.160 | $9.72 | +$8.12 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 7-13?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.021 | $0.11 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 5 |
| $0.170 |
| $4.35 |
| +$3.5 |
 Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30? | No | 5 | $0.160 | $3.78 | +$2.98 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | Yes | 5 | $0.340 | $3.48 | +$1.78 |
 Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.150 | $3.05 | +$2.3 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.185 | $2.35 | +$0.5 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | No | 5 | $0.036 | $1.45 | +$1.27 |
 Will Estudiantes LP win Copa Libertadores? | Yes | 5 | $0.004 | $1.28 | +$1.26 |
 Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.060 | $1.18 | +$0.88 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | No | 5 | $0.218 | $0.98 | -$0.11 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | Yes | 5 | $0.230 | $0.78 | -$0.38 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | Yes | 5 | $0.080 | $0.73 | +$0.33 |
 Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | No | 5 | $0.130 | $0.73 | +$0.08 |
 Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.084 | $0.71 | +$0.29 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? | No | 5 | $0.160 | $0.65 | -$0.15 |
 Will Islam Makhachev fight Carlos Prates next? | No | 5 | $0.100 | $0.63 | +$0.13 |
 Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.090 | $0.58 | +$0.13 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.150 | $0.48 | -$0.28 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.180 | $0.48 | -$0.43 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.090 | $0.43 | -$0.03 |
 Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.130 | $0.43 | -$0.23 |
 Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.130 | $0.38 | -$0.28 |
 Will Shameka Parrish-Wright win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election? | Yes | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | $0 |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.098 | $0.34 | -$0.15 |
 Will Hollie Chadwick win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election? | Yes | 5 | $0.070 | $0.33 | -$0.02 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.004 |
| $0.02 |
| 2d ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 7?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | 2d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 7?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | 2d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 7?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 2d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.050 | $0.25 | 2d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in September?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.020 | $0.1 | 2d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.055 | $0.28 | 4d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.051 | $0.26 | 6d ago |
 Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.011 | $0.05 | 7d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.027 | $0.14 | 7d ago |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.009 | $0.05 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.160 | $0.8 | 8d ago |
 ChatGPT Outage by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.008 | $0.04 | 8d ago |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in August?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | 10d ago |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in August?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.014 | $0.07 | 10d ago |
 Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top global Netflix movie this week?No | sell | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | 11d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.080 | $0.4 | 13d ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.591 | $2.96 | 16d ago |
 Will "Don’t Say Good Luck" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No | sell | 5 | $0.030 | $0.15 | 16d ago |
 Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 15 minutes long?No | sell | 6.19 | $0.080 | $0.5 | 17d ago |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | 18d ago |
 Will XRP dip to $0.80 in August?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.018 | $0.09 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?No | sell | 5 | $0.297 | $1.48 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?No | buy | 5 | $0.263 | $1.32 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?No | buy | 5 | $0.263 | $1.32 | 19d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.033 | $0.17 | 23d ago |
 Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.011 | $0.05 | 23d ago |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?No | sell | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | 25d ago |
 Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of August 10 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.422 | $2.11 | 26d ago |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.013 | $0.07 | 27d ago |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.056 | $0.28 | 27d ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in August?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.050 | $0.25 | 28d ago |
 Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will "Tony" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 5 | $0.040 | $0.2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in August?Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.060 | $0.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.090 | $0.45 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.023 | $0.11 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.011 | $0.05 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.021 | $0.11 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.023 | $0.11 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 GRVT FDV above $450M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.040 | $0.2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.025 | $0.13 | Jul 30, 2026 |