Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 4K | $0.810 | $3.42K | +$180.44 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | 3h ago |
 |
| No |
| 680 |
| $0.832 |
| $574.6 |
| +$8.57 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 499.99 | $0.749 | $400 | +$25.58 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 331.79 | $0.861 | $290.31 | +$4.66 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 300 | $0.690 | $259.5 | +$52.5 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 250 | $0.678 | $226.25 | +$56.61 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 237.88 | $0.743 | $184.36 | +$7.55 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 200.01 | $0.870 | $179.01 | +$5 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 380 | $0.539 | $176.7 | -$28.3 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.870 | $176 | +$2 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 188.09 | $0.621 | $147.65 | +$30.84 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 150 | $0.870 | $132.75 | +$2.25 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 207.5 | $0.683 | $127.61 | -$14.19 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 150 | $0.817 | $126 | +$3.5 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 250 | $0.501 | $113.75 | -$11.63 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.370 | $103.5 | -$7.5 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.920 | $93.5 | +$1.5 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 100.01 | $0.878 | $88.76 | +$0.95 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.819 | $83.15 | +$1.25 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.755 | $77 | +$1.5 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 100 | $0.700 | $69.5 | -$0.5 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 86.92 | $0.796 | $69.1 | -$0.07 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 100 | $0.650 | $67.5 | +$2.5 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.840 | $44.75 | +$2.75 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.880 | $44.25 | +$0.25 |
| buy |
| 300 |
| $0.940 |
| $282 |
| 4h ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.337 | $10.1 | 21h ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | sell | 57.3 | $0.890 | $51 | 22h ago |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.114 | $11.4 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 76.64 | $0.760 | $58.25 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.570 | $28.5 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | 2d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 9.98 | $0.690 | $6.89 | 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.510 | $102 | 2d ago |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.850 | $42.5 | 2d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | sell | 19.99 | $0.958 | $19.15 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.680 | $34 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 120 | $0.300 | $36 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | 4d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | 5d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.804 | $16.08 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.803 | $40.15 | 5d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 550.01 | $0.154 | $84.49 | 7d ago |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.218 | $4.36 | 7d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | 7d ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 106.02 | $0.142 | $15.02 | 8d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.870 | $34.8 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | 8d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | 9d ago |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.878 | $26.34 | 10d ago |
 Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?No | sell | 70 | $0.347 | $24.29 | 10d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.560 | $56 | 11d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.580 | $29 | 11d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | 11d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.580 | $29 | 11d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.710 | $35.5 | 11d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.860 | $21.5 | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.620 | $186 | 14d ago |
 Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?Yes | sell | 553 | $0.026 | $14.38 | 19d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.720 | $18 | 19d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | 21d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.295 | $14.75 | 21d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.294 | $44.1 | 21d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | 21d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 88.88 | $0.090 | $8 | 21d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | 21d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | 22d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.49 | $0.690 | $17.59 | 22d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.28 | $0.750 | $5.46 | 22d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 55 | $0.660 | $36.3 | 22d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 81.81 | $0.880 | $71.99 | 22d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 33.09 | $0.620 | $20.52 | 23d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 50 | $0.863 | $43.15 | 23d ago |