Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 115K | $0.642 | $63.83K | -$9.98K |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.19K | $0.001 | $1.19 | 11h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 115K |
| $0.640 |
| $52.33K |
| -$21.23K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 40K | $0.768 | $27K | -$3.72K |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | No | 21.74K | $0.977 | $21.14K | -$94.4 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 20.13K | $0.920 | $19.74K | +$1.21K |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 16.54K | $0.986 | $16.36K | +$56.4 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | No | 14K | $0.923 | $13.4K | +$487.16 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 12.81K | $0.990 | $12.76K | +$80.65 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 40K | $0.768 | $12.2K | -$18.52K |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 12K | $0.909 | $11.34K | +$427.82 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 11.65K | $0.896 | $11.01K | +$564.26 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | No | 10.26K | $0.929 | $9.97K | +$437.37 |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 9K | $0.984 | $8.92K | +$58.9 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 8K | $0.773 | $7.82K | +$1.64K |
 Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 7.14K | $0.962 | $6.55K | -$320.67 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 7K | $0.858 | $6.47K | +$471.37 |
 Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.73K | $0.900 | $6.42K | +$372.21 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 6K | $0.899 | $5.55K | +$154.96 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 6K | $0.910 | $5.55K | +$90.02 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 10.6K | $0.031 | $5.46K | +$5.13K |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | Yes | 5.12K | $0.962 | $5.03K | +$103.04 |
 Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | Yes | 6K | $0.873 | $5.01K | -$227.87 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 10.6K | $0.031 | $4.92K | +$4.59K |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.54K | $0.970 | $4.5K | +$99.32 |
 Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election? | Yes | 4.41K | $0.940 | $4.25K | +$103.73 |
| buy |
| 105 |
| $0.998 |
| $104.79 |
| 18h ago |
 Will JD Vance attend King Harald V's funeral?No | buy | 261 | $0.998 | $260.38 | 18h ago |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 583.94 | $0.996 | $581.6 | 1d ago |
 Will Donald Trump attend King Harald V's funeral?No | buy | 300 | $0.998 | $299.4 | 1d ago |
| Will Erling Haaland attend King Harald V's funeral?No | buy | 88.4 | $0.989 | $87.42 | 1d ago |
 Will King Charles III attend King Harald V's funeral?No | buy | 574 | $0.999 | $573.43 | 1d ago |
| Will Donald Trump attend King Harald V's funeral?No | buy | 229.15 | $0.994 | $227.87 | 1d ago |
| New pandemic before 2028?No | buy | 741.12 | $0.760 | $563.25 | 2d ago |
 Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 294.94 | $0.965 | $284.66 | 2d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.996 | $996 | 2d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 106 | $0.320 | $33.92 | 3d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 106 | $0.310 | $32.86 | 3d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 206 | $0.978 | $201.47 | 3d ago |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No | sell | 621.89 | $0.961 | $597.64 | 4d ago |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.961 | $480.71 | 4d ago |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 4.8K | $0.001 | $4.8 | 4d ago |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 4.6K | $0.001 | $4.6 | 4d ago |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 600 | $0.985 | $591 | 4d ago |
 Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?No | sell | 500 | $0.988 | $493.88 | 4d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 421.99 | $0.984 | $415.24 | 4d ago |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.41K | $0.001 | $3.41 | 4d ago |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.001 | $4 | 4d ago |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.001 | $4 | 4d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 500 | $0.955 | $477.5 | 4d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 500 | $0.955 | $477.5 | 4d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 500 | $0.955 | $477.48 | 4d ago |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.59K | $0.998 | $2.59K | 4d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.22K | $0.984 | $2.19K | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.993 | $1.99K | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.995 | $1.19K | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.969 | $193.8 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 64.88 | $0.996 | $64.62 | 5d ago |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2.18K | $0.996 | $2.17K | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2K | $0.996 | $1.99K | 5d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 330 | $0.965 | $318.45 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 55.15 | $0.959 | $52.89 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.993 | $1.99K | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.001 | $4 | 5d ago |
 Will Bloomberg IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 59.4 | $0.900 | $53.48 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.986 | $98.6 | 5d ago |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 568.63 | $0.965 | $548.73 | 5d ago |
 Will TownSquare launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.910 | $28.21 | 5d ago |
| Will TownSquare launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.900 | $22.5 | 5d ago |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?No | sell | 0.22 | $0.959 | $0.21 | 5d ago |
 SBF released from custody in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.88K | $0.031 | $58.79 | 5d ago |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No | sell | 145 | $0.966 | $140.07 | 5d ago |