Analytics
Yes is at 4.5%, down 8 points from 12.5% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 339 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (19 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 20.5% on 15 Nov 2025 and the lowest 3.5% on 2 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.6%; a month before, 4.5%.
$54.15K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $13.29M since listing. The order book holds $289.63K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $5.23K bought Yes and $162.36K bought No; the largest was a $73.11K buy of No at 95.5¢.
The largest Yes position is Used-Wholesale with 257.6K shares; the largest No position is SecondWindCapital with 410.6K. Ten wallets hold 31.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 339 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 12.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SecondWindCapital | No | 410.62K |
| elmcap2 | No | 362.96K |
| onekey02 | No | 267.56K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-out-as-president-before-2027
| Used-Wholesale |
| Yes |
| 257.63K |
| dedoge | No | 194.62K |
| ReedUpdatee | No | 165.25K |
| jianyang69 | Yes | 151.4K |
| OverlookHotel | Yes | 139.7K |
| Ivory Tide 5D6D | Yes | 114.9K |
| Serene-Decision | No | 114.83K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
