Analytics
Yes is at 0.9%, down 46 points from 46.5% when the market opened on 11 Feb 2026.
Across the 232 daily closes on record from 11 Feb 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48.5% on 20 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.6% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.6%; a month before, 1.9%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 48.5% on 20 Feb 2026.
$335.05 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $449.96K since listing. The order book holds $10.01K, with a 0.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.04K bought Yes and $34.04K bought No; the largest was a $15.48K sell of No at 96.7¢.
The largest Yes position is Quiet Ledger 7684 with 10.2K shares; the largest No position is 4e2fbc2acf with 14.4K. Ten wallets hold 51.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Mar 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 232 points, 11 Feb 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2026 | 46.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 4e2fbc2acf | No | 14.43K |
| Quiet Ledger 7684 | Yes | 10.17K |
| HAOI | No | 8.74K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States. If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price. This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc. If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-gta-6-cost-100-245
| AmphibiousCaldwellPope |
| No |
| 6.13K |
| QMG-CORE | No | 5.51K |
| megafom | No | 3.58K |
| Scholarly-Passage | No | 3.24K |
| enrico-vasaio | No | 3.23K |
| Omrithegever | Yes | 3.23K |
| TBill1 | No | 2.72K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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