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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 24.35K | $0.880 | $23.01K | +$1.59K |
 Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 543.1 | $0.850 | $461.64 | 4h ago |
|
| No |
| 17K |
| $0.866 |
| $15.83K |
| +$1.11K |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 11.6K | $0.943 | $11.25K | +$309.03 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 11.5K | $0.942 | $10.6K | -$232.97 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 8.48K | $0.939 | $8.01K | +$51.64 |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | No | 7K | $0.982 | $6.91K | +$31.59 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 6.7K | $0.890 | $6.2K | +$234.53 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 6.1K | $0.958 | $5.81K | -$29.29 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 6K | $0.877 | $5.61K | +$350.02 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | No | 4.56K | $0.980 | $4.53K | +$67.76 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 4K | $0.934 | $3.82K | +$85 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 4K | $0.845 | $3.42K | +$40 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | No | 3.23K | $0.974 | $3.16K | +$12.8 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 3K | $0.827 | $2.84K | +$355.01 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 3K | $0.809 | $2.6K | +$167 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2.56K | $0.978 | $2.51K | +$7.66 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 2.53K | $0.910 | $2.47K | +$169.22 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.21K | $0.973 | $2.19K | +$42.7 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.17K | $0.915 | $2.1K | +$108.87 |
 GTA VI released by October 31? | No | 2.06K | $0.945 | $2.03K | +$83.2 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | No | 2K | $0.991 | $1.99K | +$6 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.973 | $1.95K | +$5 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.930 | $1.87K | +$10 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 2K | $0.900 | $1.84K | +$40 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2.02K | $0.834 | $1.72K | +$29.11 |
| buy |
| 154.01 |
| $0.300 |
| $46.2 |
| 4h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 280 | $0.740 | $207.2 | 4h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 129.78 | $0.840 | $109.02 | 4h ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.037 | $3.7 | 1d ago |
 Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 102.22 | $0.750 | $76.66 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 432.55 | $0.860 | $371.99 | 1d ago |
 Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 127.78 | $0.939 | $119.99 | 2d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 534.3 | $0.940 | $502.24 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.988 | $1.65K | 3d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.350 | $70 | 4d ago |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 66 | $0.990 | $65.34 | 4d ago |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 305.69 | $0.680 | $207.87 | 5d ago |
 Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.947 | $1.14K | 7d ago |
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Yes | sell | 497.28 | $0.053 | $26.36 | 7d ago |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 235.59 | $0.930 | $219.1 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.992 | $992 | 7d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.840 | $1.26K | 8d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 381.1 | $0.984 | $375 | 8d ago |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?No | buy | 113.88 | $0.990 | $112.74 | 8d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 60.53 | $0.810 | $49.03 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.992 | $1.98K | 8d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?No | buy | 465 | $0.910 | $423.15 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.770 | $231 | 11d ago |
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Yes | sell | 102.72 | $0.058 | $5.96 | 12d ago |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | buy | 829.27 | $0.980 | $812.58 | 13d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 289.45 | $0.200 | $57.89 | 13d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 3K | $0.850 | $2.55K | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 460 | $0.380 | $174.8 | 13d ago |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 300 | $0.680 | $204 | 15d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1K | $0.930 | $930 | 15d ago |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.880 | $440 | 15d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.380 | $399.33 | 15d ago |
 Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.995 | $1.15K | 15d ago |
 Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?No | buy | 113.9 | $0.840 | $95.68 | 15d ago |
 Will Spotify reach 1 billion total users in 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.950 | $24.7 | 16d ago |
| Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 81 | $0.925 | $74.93 | 16d ago |
| Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.924 | $27.72 | 16d ago |
| Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.920 | $55.2 | 16d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.160 | $160 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 101.6 | $0.955 | $97.03 | 16d ago |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 135.69 | $0.420 | $56.99 | 17d ago |
| Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.993 | $1K | 18d ago |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 701.25 | $0.820 | $575.03 | 18d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 399.99 | $0.900 | $359.99 | 18d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.650 | $325 | 18d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.993 | $993 | 19d ago |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 1K | $0.930 | $930 | 19d ago |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 264.69 | $0.750 | $198.52 | 20d ago |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 55 | $0.750 | $41.25 | 20d ago |