Analytics
Yes is at 4.7%, down 39 points from 44% when the market opened on 17 Dec 2025.
Across the 287 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 24 Oct 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53% on 15 Jan 2026 and the lowest 3.3% on 19 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.3%; a month before, 9.6%. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 47.5% on 7 Jan 2026.
$645.28 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.85M since listing. The order book holds $90.43K, with a 1.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $3.7K bought Yes and $103.49K bought No; the largest was a $12.87K sell of No at 90.0¢.
The largest Yes position is dtdctr with 201.6K shares; the largest No position is Serene-Decision with 134.5K. Ten wallets hold 60.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 3:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 287 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 44.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 4.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dtdctr | Yes | 201.59K |
| Serene-Decision | No | 134.45K |
| ndb1 | No | 90.07K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-all-time-high-by
| apenator |
| Yes |
| 85.44K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | No | 57.19K |
| DFV2 | No | 53.45K |
| oegdatam | No | 51.4K |
| Swift Maven 1848 | Yes | 41.22K |
| HAOI | No | 32.51K |
| Eargherah | Yes | 28.43K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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