Analytics
Yes is at 2.8%, down 11 points from 13.5% when the market opened on 24 Jul 2025.
Across the 438 daily closes on record from 24 Jul 2025 to 24 Oct 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 25.5% on 5 Sep 2025 and the lowest 2.7% on 17 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.7%; a month before, 3.5%. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 22.5% on 26 Jul 2025.
$614.93 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $770.84K since listing. The order book holds $32.45K, with a 1.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.43K bought Yes and $13.54K bought No; the largest was a $3.73K buy of No at 94.0¢.
The largest Yes position is TreepleA with 50.5K shares; the largest No position is allenzzz with 36.5K. Ten wallets hold 59.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 11:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 438 points, 24 Jul 2025 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2025 | 13.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 2.8% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-pardon-ghislaine-maxwell
| vk7 |
| Yes |
| 14K |
| helloiamworld | No | 12.45K |
| Minty-Vane | No | 11.5K |
| 100x | No | 10.01K |
| enrico-vasaio | No | 9.1K |
| elmcap2 | No | 9K |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | No | 7.36K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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