Analytics
Yes is at 3.3%, down 25 points from 28% when the market opened on 25 Feb 2026.
Across the 233 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 64.1% on 16 Jul 2026 and the lowest 2.9% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.5%; a month before, 4.7%. Its largest one-day move was 52 points up, to 64.1% on 16 Jul 2026.
$95.43K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $691.74, with a 2.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.72K bought Yes and $10.27K bought No; the largest was a $1.5K buy of No at 93.3¢.
The largest Yes position is Perypery with 556 shares; the largest No position is enrico-vasaio with 2.8K. Ten wallets hold 50% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 233 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 28.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 3.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| enrico-vasaio | No | 2.81K |
| Perypery | Yes | 555.88 |
| pookyisback | Yes | 496.97 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count. An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-stripe-acquire-paypal-in-2026
| 0xdoqwkp12 |
| No |
| 350.27 |
| RationalCoco | No | 347.09 |
| Krass | No | 329.29 |
| GasPrice | Yes | 321.46 |
| Misty Harbor 2967 | Yes | 312.99 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 280.8 |
| tinman2 | Yes | 260 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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