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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 6.69K | $0.500 | $6.56K | +$3.21K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.400 | $10.8 | 4d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2K |
| $0.600 |
| $1.6K |
| +$397 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.600 | $452.5 | +$152.5 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.033 | $412.5 | +$330.27 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 500 | $0.470 | $395 | +$160 |
 Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 2.91K | $0.029 | $377.87 | +$292.25 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.56K | $0.088 | $249.41 | +$112.07 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | Yes | 2.36K | $0.064 | $247.71 | +$97.47 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.69K | $0.021 | $228.76 | +$171.31 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 386.07 | $0.050 | $214.27 | +$194.97 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.29K | $0.071 | $213.89 | -$20.39 |
 Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? | No | 1.22K | $0.028 | $195.37 | +$160.95 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 349.98 | $0.410 | $162.74 | +$19.25 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 2.38K | $0.042 | $142.5 | +$42.51 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 1.02K | $0.067 | $137.98 | +$69.5 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 250 | $0.450 | $131.25 | +$18.75 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6.69K | $0.500 | $130.38 | -$3.21K |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 2.89K | $0.043 | $130.08 | +$6.17 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 500.08 | $0.150 | $117.52 | +$42.51 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 999.58 | $0.029 | $112.45 | +$83.25 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 1.68K | $0.090 | $109.12 | -$41.92 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 2.17K | $0.090 | $105.49 | -$89.99 |
 Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? | Yes | 2.19K | $0.048 | $98.44 | -$6.55 |
 Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election? | No | 2.57K | $0.079 | $94.94 | -$107.15 |
 Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.010 | $92.5 | +$87.5 |
| sell |
| 610.82 |
| $0.040 |
| $24.43 |
| 4d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.060 | $1.5 | 6d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 714 | $0.046 | $33.08 | 9d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 289.25 | $0.052 | $15 | 9d ago |
 Mega Gengar ex Price Over/Under $1,118.76 on August 31?Over | sell | 66.99 | $0.040 | $2.68 | 12d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 750 | $0.090 | $67.5 | 14d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 4.75K | $0.070 | $332.5 | 14d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 823.25 | $0.050 | $41.16 | 16d ago |
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | sell | 25.43 | $0.920 | $23.4 | 16d ago |
 Natural Disaster in 2026?No | sell | 249.75 | $0.730 | $182.37 | 16d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 4.85K | $0.003 | $14.56 | 18d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 859.69 | $0.070 | $60.18 | 19d ago |
 Iran leadership change by August 31?Yes | sell | 1.03K | $0.006 | $6.2 | 20d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.86K | $0.050 | $93.19 | 20d ago |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?Yes | sell | 9.7 | $0.099 | $0.96 | 20d ago |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Yes | sell | 22.74 | $0.120 | $2.73 | 20d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.16K | $0.060 | $69.82 | 21d ago |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 571.56 | $0.110 | $62.87 | 22d ago |
| Iran leadership change by August 22?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.005 | $0.4 | 23d ago |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.070 | $14 | 24d ago |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes | sell | 250 | $0.090 | $22.5 | 25d ago |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?Yes | sell | 196 | $0.020 | $3.92 | 27d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | sell | 212 | $0.176 | $37.27 | 28d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 350 | $0.310 | $108.6 | 29d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.499 | $27.45 | 29d ago |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.478 | $23.92 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.580 | $7.54 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?No | sell | 187.5 | $0.648 | $121.58 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?No | sell | 347.27 | $0.186 | $64.58 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?No | sell | 52.73 | $0.200 | $10.55 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.170 | $4.08 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Los Angeles" in August?No | sell | 98.67 | $0.010 | $0.99 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes | sell | 827.7 | $0.032 | $26.41 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 249.99 | $0.181 | $45.25 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Yes | sell | 248.88 | $0.550 | $136.88 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 240.3 | $0.060 | $14.42 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.5 | $0.090 | $1.93 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 194.39 | $0.008 | $1.65 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No | sell | 30 | $0.080 | $2.4 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | sell | 1.29K | $0.050 | $64.46 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.94K | $0.080 | $155 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | sell | 517.12 | $0.060 | $31.03 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | sell | 2.75K | $0.050 | $138.22 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 6.97 | $0.985 | $6.87 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 156.11 | $0.052 | $8.06 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?Yes | sell | 81.19 | $0.060 | $4.87 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.037 | $2.15 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?No | sell | 88.79 | $0.004 | $0.36 | Jul 27, 2026 |