Analytics
Yes is at 4.5%, down 70 points from 74.5% when the market opened on 20 Nov 2025.
Across the 311 daily closes on record from 20 Nov 2025 to 26 Oct 2026 (31 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 86% on 21 Nov 2025 and the lowest 4.5% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5%; a month before, 8.5%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 74% on 22 Nov 2025.
It is one of 3 markets under “Will Base launch a token by ___ ?”.
$420.45 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $779.21K since listing. The order book holds $23.69K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.56K bought Yes and $32.44K bought No; the largest was a $10K buy of No at 89.8¢.
The largest Yes position is nigabutt69 with 20K shares; the largest No position is Loathsome-Emphasis with 25.7K. Ten wallets hold 31.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 5:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 311 points, 20 Nov 2025 – 26 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2025 | 74.5% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 4.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Loathsome-Emphasis | No | 25.72K |
| nigabutt69 | Yes | 20K |
| churna | No | 5.6K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-base-launch-a-token-in-2025-341
| LemonBrothers |
| Yes |
| 5.52K |
| elmcap2 | No | 4.89K |
| etar | Yes | 4.61K |
| logicc | No | 4.35K |
| 09876poiu | Yes | 4.18K |
| MaxEnt | No | 2.95K |
| aixbet | Yes | 2.86K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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