Analytics
Yes is at 53%, up 8 points from 45% when the market opened on 13 Nov 2025.
Across the 348 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 88.5% on 7 Oct 2026 and the lowest 29% on 5 Feb 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 58.5%; a month before, 78.5%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 62.5% on 14 Nov 2025.
NVIDIA is the favourite of the 8 outcomes in “Largest Company end of December 2026?”, ahead of Apple at 45%.
$109.82K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.62M since listing. The order book holds $89.14K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $12K bought Yes and $42.66K bought No; the largest was a $15.24K buy of No at 41.5¢.
The largest Yes position is 0xfree-money with 255.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 419.4K. Ten wallets hold 70.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 3:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 348 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 45.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 53.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 419.43K |
| 0xfree-money | Yes | 255.29K |
| PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN | No | 36.68K |
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-december-2026
| Cptrade | Yes | 30.08K |
| JJoVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 28.46K |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 17.81K |
| yyyyyyy | No | 16.44K |
| VibeyQuant | Yes | 15.27K |
| Hauchn | No | 15.24K |
| gdbl | Yes | 11.31K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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