NVIDIA: Up 11 points in a week, 4.0× a normal week for this contract. 5 days running in the same direction. At its highest in 30 days. 1 other outcome moved by more than noise.
Up 11 points in a week, 4.0× a normal week for this contract. 5 days running in the same direction. At its highest in 30 days.
Down 10 points in a week, 3.9× a normal week for this contract. 3 days running in the same direction. At its lowest in 30 days.
Trade Largest Company on paper, free
A free account gives you a practice balance at live Polymarket prices, a portfolio that marks itself, and Vi on every market. No card.
Each line is the price of one outcome on Polymarket, read as a probability. Hover or tap to read every line on the same day.
| Outcome | 30 days ago | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA | 93% | 99% |
| Apple | 5.5% | <1% |
Dollars traded in the last 24 hours, event by event, with the outcome leading each one.
The order book behind “Largest Company end of September?”, read a minute ago.
| Outcome | Bid / ask | Within 2¢ | $1K pays | $10K pays |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA | 99¢/99¢ | $8.2K · $37.1K | 99¢+0.1 | |
| Apple | 0.6¢/0.7¢ | $200 · $110 | 4.4¢+3.7 | |
| Alphabet | 0.1¢/0.2¢ | $23 · $229 | 1.5¢+1.3 | |
| Saudi Aramco | —/0.1¢ | $0 · $157 | 0.7¢+0.6 | |
| Tesla | —/0.1¢ | $0 · $143 | 0.7¢+0.6 |
Average price a buy order of that size would pay against the offers resting now, and how many points that is above the best offer. “Within 2¢” is the dollars resting near the touch on the bid and the offer side.
Vultax Research: how much size prediction market order books hold
Biggest holders in this market's two leading outcomes, valued at the current price. Open a name for the wallet's record on Vultax.
7 more positions in this market
Who holds the most on each side, valued at the current price, with each wallet's record one click away.
Vultax Research: how Polymarket trader leaderboards compare
Prints of $1,000 and more in the room's busiest markets, newest first.
9 more large trades in this room
Each print of $1,000 and more as it happens: who, which side, what price.
Every move in this room that cleared Vi IQ's "notable" line, stamped when it happened. Vultax has recorded this room since 22 Sep 2026.
Down 11 points in a week, 4.2× a normal week for this contract. At its lowest in 30 days.
Up 12 points in a week, 4.4× a normal week for this contract. 4 days running in the same direction. At its highest in 30 days.
On Polymarket, “Largest Company end of September?” has NVIDIA in front at >99%, on $30.2K traded across that market in the last 24 hours. This room reads 170 open markets across 6 Polymarket events, which together traded $74.0K over the same 24 hours and hold $3.6M of resting liquidity. Prices as of 23 Sep 2026, 08:03 UTC.
Which company ends each month, and the year, with the world's biggest market value
The next two places on the same dates
Largest price changes in points, counted only on markets that traded at least $1,000 in the same 24 hours. The number beside each move is that market’s 24-hour volume.
Change in probability points since the same time the previous day
Change in probability points since the same time the previous week
The most recently settled Polymarket markets on this subject, with the outcome that paid and the total traded over the market’s life. A settled market is the only place a prediction market can be checked against what happened.
| Market | Resolved as | Total volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd Largest Company end of August? | Apple | $541K | 31 Aug 2026 |
| Largest Company end of August? | NVIDIA | $2.9M | 31 Aug 2026 |
| 3rd Largest Company end of August? | Alphabet | $373K | 31 Aug 2026 |
This room reads Polymarket's markets on the world's largest companies by market capitalisation. The lead market asks which company is the largest at market close on the last day of the month; a year-end version runs beside it, with separate markets for second and third place and for the most valuable private companies.
Market capitalisation is the share price times the shares outstanding, so the ranking changes with every trading session, and two companies a few percent apart can swap places on one earnings report. The monthly markets settle on the ranking at that month's market close, on a consensus of credible reporting.
A price is the cost of a contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens, so 62¢ reads as a 62% chance. In a market with many named outcomes the prices should add up to roughly 100%; a gap is the venue's spread and fees, not a free lunch.
Each market resolves on its own written rules, including the deadline, the resolution source and what counts as the event. Two markets on the same subject with different wording can and do trade at different prices, so read the rules on the market page before comparing them.
| <1% |
| 0 |
| −9.2 |
| $10.4K |
| $98.0K |
| 1 Oct 2026 |
| Yes0.7¢No99¢ |
| Alphabet | <1% | — | 0 | $11.8K | $129K | 1 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Saudi Aramco | <1% | — | — | $65 | $190K | 1 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Tesla | <1% | — | — | $0 | $163K | 1 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Broadcom | <1% | — | — | $0 | $168K | 1 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Microsoft | <1% | — | — | $0 | $155K | 1 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Amazon | <1% | — | — | $0 | $131K | 1 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
1 further priced outcome in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA | 78% | +2.0 | +9.0 | $7.8K | $133K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes78¢No22¢ |
| Apple | 16% | 0 | −8.3 | $454 | $184K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes16¢No84¢ |
| Alphabet | 6.5% | −0.5 | — | $203 | $177K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes6.5¢No94¢ |
| SpaceX | <1% | 0 | 0 | $5.8K | $175K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes0.4¢No100¢ |
| Microsoft | <1% | — | 0 | $115 | $126K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes0.4¢No100¢ |
| Saudi Aramco | <1% | — | — | $9.1K | $209K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Tesla | <1% | — | — | $773 | $352K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Amazon | <1% | 0 | 0 | $3.1K | $227K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Apple | <1% | −0.8 | −0.8 | $2.3K | $28.4K | 1 Oct 2026 | Yes0.8¢No99¢ |
| Microsoft | <1% | −1.0 | −4.3 | $7.7K | $50.6K | 1 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| NVIDIA | <1% | — | 0 | $84 | $46.5K | 1 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| SpaceX | <1% | — | — | $84 | $32.4K | 1 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Tesla | <1% | — | — | $0 | $37.2K | 1 Oct 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
3 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple | 98% | +1.6 | +12 | $1.2K | $6.0K | 30 Sep 2026 | Yes98¢No2.1¢ |
| NVIDIA | 1.1% | 0 | −11 | $2.4K | $25.5K | 30 Sep 2026 | Yes1.1¢No99¢ |
| Alphabet | 1.1% | 0 | 0 | $440 | $14.6K | 30 Sep 2026 | Yes1.1¢No99¢ |
| Microsoft | <1% | 0 | 0 | $0 | $47.1K | 30 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Tesla | <1% | — | — | $0 | $21.0K | 30 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Saudi Aramco | <1% | — | — | $0 | $31.9K | 30 Sep 2026 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
3 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alphabet | 59% | −8.0 | +6.0 | $936 | $3.1K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes59¢No42¢ |
| Apple | 20% | +2.0 | −4.5 | $236 | $6.7K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes20¢No81¢ |
| Microsoft | 15% | +0.5 | −4.0 | $493 | $5.8K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes15¢No85¢ |
| NVIDIA | 2.7% | −0.6 | −1.9 | $0 | $5.6K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes2.7¢No97¢ |
| SpaceX | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $21.2K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes0.5¢No100¢ |
| Amazon | <1% | — | 0 | $0 | $11.4K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes0.3¢No100¢ |
3 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes | Paper trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple | 57% | — | +12 | $2 | $8.6K | 31 Dec 2026 | Yes57¢No43¢ |
| Alphabet | 21% | — | −1.5 | $0 | $10.7K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes21¢No79¢ |
| NVIDIA | 21% | — | −3.0 | $20 | $19.0K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes21¢No80¢ |
| Microsoft | 2.9% | 0 | −0.9 | $0 | $19.5K | 31 Dec 2026 | Yes2.9¢No97¢ |
| SpaceX | <1% | 0 | 0 | $10 | $31.8K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
| Tesla | <1% | — | — | $0 | $29.0K | 1 Jan 2027 | Yes0.1¢No100¢ |
3 further priced outcomes in this market are not shown.
Prices are read from Polymarket's public markets and trades and describe what traders pay, not a forecast or recommendation by Vultax.
