Analytics
Yes is at 1.1%, down 6.5 points from 7.5% when the market opened on 13 Nov 2025.
Across the 341 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44% on 4 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.4%; a month before, 5.5%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 33% on 1 May 2026.
Alphabet ranks third of the 8 outcomes in “Largest Company end of December 2026?”. NVIDIA leads at 53%; Apple is at 39.9%.
$38.11K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $901.81K since listing. The order book holds $165.54K, with a 0.10% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $622.2 bought Yes and $25.27K bought No; the largest was a $1.21K sell of No at 98.7¢.
The largest Yes position is BMM-1 with 100K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 419.3K. Ten wallets hold 80.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 341 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 7.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 1.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 419.27K |
| BMM-1 | Yes | 100K |
| Past-Power | Yes | 47.65K |
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-december-2026
| SteveTheFish |
| Yes |
| 43.78K |
| TomFung | Yes | 42.65K |
| deah12 | Yes | 11.13K |
| yyyyyyy | Yes | 7.68K |
| donthackme | Yes | 7.01K |
| superforecastor | Yes | 6.54K |
| Grimy-Expose | Yes | 6.46K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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