Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Across the 326 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 35% on 13 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 7 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 5.5% on 14 Nov 2025.

Tesla ranks sixth of the 8 outcomes in “Largest Company end of December 2026?”. NVIDIA leads at 53%; Apple is at 40.1%.

$212.35 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.06M since listing. The order book holds $246.56K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $109.18 bought Yes and $21.21K bought No; the largest was a $3K buy of No at 99.9¢.

The largest Yes position is BornAgain26 with 71.5K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 419.3K. Ten wallets hold 81.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.