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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 23.36K | $0.007 | $805.8 | +$650.44 |
 Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.501 | $1 | 5d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 752.95 |
| $0.392 |
| $414.12 |
| +$118.9 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 315.66 | $0.696 | $295.15 | +$75.38 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 282 | $0.410 | $241.11 | +$125.48 |
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 33.34K | $0.019 | $200.01 | -$423.12 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | 192.32 | $0.800 | $186.26 | +$32.43 |
 Will US annex any territory in 2026? | No | 152.5 | $0.800 | $144.49 | +$22.5 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 145 | $0.500 | $135.58 | +$63.06 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 140.58 | $0.727 | $128.63 | +$26.49 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 131 | $0.761 | $125.96 | +$26.27 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | No | 111.29 | $0.585 | $108.79 | +$43.68 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 110 | $0.881 | $108.19 | +$11.24 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | 112 | $0.491 | $96.88 | +$41.84 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 96 | $0.840 | $93.84 | +$13.2 |
 Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 28.4K | $0.003 | $85.2 | -$5.82 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 96 | $0.533 | $83.04 | +$31.84 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | Yes | 128 | $0.640 | $80 | -$1.92 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5.99K | $0.010 | $74.82 | +$14.66 |
 China coup attempt before 2027? | No | 69 | $0.849 | $66.72 | +$8.12 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 69 | $0.659 | $66.14 | +$20.68 |
 Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.694 | $64.35 | -$5.09 |
 Is Earth flat? | No | 64 | $0.970 | $63.58 | +$1.5 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 64 | $0.640 | $60.9 | +$19.94 |
 Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 40.57K | $0.003 | $60.85 | -$44.06 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 51.99 | $0.769 | $49.65 | +$9.66 |
| buy |
| 292.87 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.29 |
| 18d ago |
 Will Microsoft be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 431.34 | $0.001 | $0.43 | 18d ago |
 Will Tencent be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 236.4 | $0.001 | $0.24 | 18d ago |
 Will Thinky be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 548.3 | $0.001 | $0.55 | 18d ago |
 Will ByteDance be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 278.8 | $0.001 | $0.28 | 18d ago |
| Will Thinky be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 35.8 | $0.001 | $0.04 | 18d ago |
 Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 168.97 | $0.001 | $0.17 | 18d ago |
 Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 387.3 | $0.001 | $0.39 | 19d ago |
| Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 233.6 | $0.001 | $0.23 | 19d ago |
| Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 12.39K | $0.001 | $12.39 | 19d ago |
| Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 6.69K | $0.001 | $6.69 | 19d ago |
 Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 3.22K | $0.004 | $12.89 | 19d ago |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.006 | $1.79 | 19d ago |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 388.66 | $0.001 | $0.39 | 19d ago |
| Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 3.08K | $0.002 | $6.16 | 19d ago |
| Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 3.4K | $0.002 | $6.79 | 19d ago |
| Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.480 | $23.04 | 19d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 202.37 | $0.008 | $1.7 | 19d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 551.84 | $0.004 | $2.27 | 19d ago |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 896.36 | $0.004 | $3.44 | 19d ago |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 417.78 | $0.005 | $2.03 | 19d ago |
| Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.45 | $0.454 | $22 | 19d ago |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 4.25K | $0.010 | $42.25 | 19d ago |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.089 | $44.57 | 19d ago |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 156.31 | $0.007 | $1.09 | 19d ago |
| Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 276.63 | $0.001 | $0.28 | 19d ago |
| Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 724.69 | $0.001 | $0.72 | 19d ago |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.002 | $2.83 | 19d ago |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 3.59K | $0.002 | $7.17 | 19d ago |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.005 | $5.56 | 19d ago |
| Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 193.51 | $0.350 | $67.79 | 19d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 305 | $0.159 | $48.36 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.281 | $56.19 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 196.32 | $0.236 | $46.31 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | buy | 427.25 | $0.035 | $14.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.34K | $0.004 | $9.37 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by July 31?Yes | buy | 67.14 | $0.240 | $16.11 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?No | buy | 1K | $0.030 | $30 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 99.9 | $0.067 | $6.72 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.110 | $110 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?No | buy | 689 | $0.099 | $68.21 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?No | buy | 129.1 | $0.248 | $31.98 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.41K | $0.020 | $27.79 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.760 | $22.8 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.120 | $24 | Jul 16, 2026 |