Analytics
Yes is at 36.5%, up 27 points from 9.5% when the market opened on 13 Oct 2026.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 37.5% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 9.5% on 13 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 24%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 22% on 14 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?”.
$4.54K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $116.24K since listing. The order book holds $48.6K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $8.59K bought Yes and $30.33K bought No; the largest was a $4.89K buy of No at 65.5¢.
The largest Yes position is truthteller with 18.5K shares; the largest No position is tetrase with 19.1K. Ten wallets hold 87.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 9.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 36.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tetrase | No | 19.05K |
| truthteller | Yes | 18.48K |
| TheWindKnowsmyName | Yes | 10.72K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Ilhan Omar between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ilhan-omar-federally-charged-byptptpt
| M2sx92kljs42 |
| No |
| 7.5K |
| LJa7io23MCv954j | No | 7.46K |
| vinii | Yes | 3.15K |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | No | 3.04K |
| Secret-Bolero-Injury | Yes | 2K |
| bonalddrunk | Yes | 1.71K |
| random123135 | Yes | 1.47K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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