Analytics
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
economyActive
Closes Dec 1, 2026 UTC
Yes
34.2%
No
65.8%
Yes costs 34.2¢No costs 65.8¢
24h Volume
$144
Total volume
$5.8K
Liquidity
$3.5K
Closes
Dec 1, 2026 UTC
Topic roomLargest Company
Where it stands
Yes is at 34.2%, down 8.3 points from 42.5% when the market opened on 3 Nov 2026.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 3 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 42.5% on 3 Nov 2026 and the lowest 1.6% on 5 Nov 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 13.6%. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 3.1% on 4 Nov 2026.
Microsoft ranks second of the 11 outcomes in “2nd Largest Company end of November 2026?”. NVIDIA leads at 47%; Alphabet is at 7.2%.
The best bid and the best ask are 6.4% apart, so read the price as a range. Across the latest 142 trades, $1.01K bought Yes and $1.46K bought No.
Ten wallets hold 87.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 17 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:25 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 3 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | 42.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 35.7% |
All outcomes
2nd Largest Company end of November 2026?
- 1NVIDIA$18.3K traded47.0%
- 2MicrosoftThis market$5.84K traded34.2%
- 3
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 1.76K |
| Hauchn | Yes | 971.64 |
| SteveTheFish | Yes | 771.82 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on a consensus of credible reporting. Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-november-2026
Dates
- Event startsNov 2, 2026 UTC
- Now
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in Largest Company
- Quarterly earnings, above all the chipmakers' guidance on data-centre demand
- Index flows and rebalancing on the last trading days of a month or quarter
- Rate expectations, which move long-duration technology stocks more than the market