Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.68K | $0.771 | $4K | +$393.8 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | 14h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 11.28K |
| $0.075 |
| $1.34K |
| +$493.08 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8.34K | $0.120 | $1.32K | +$319.62 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 665.34 | $0.601 | $442.45 | +$42.45 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 506.33 | $0.790 | $402.53 | +$2.53 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 340.15 | $0.911 | $332.66 | +$22.66 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 450.12 | $0.689 | $324.08 | +$14.08 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | Yes | 367.5 | $0.605 | $282.97 | +$60.82 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 681.57 | $0.693 | $276.04 | -$196.17 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 436.02 | $0.486 | $220.19 | +$8.27 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 224.97 | $0.889 | $205.85 | +$5.85 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30? | Yes | 1.88K | $0.130 | $141.25 | -$102.75 |
 Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | No | 168.07 | $0.773 | $125.21 | -$4.79 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 186.29 | $0.564 | $123.88 | +$18.88 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 248.55 | $0.443 | $123.03 | +$13.03 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026? | No | 150 | $0.760 | $113.25 | -$0.75 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 149.25 | $0.670 | $109.7 | +$9.7 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 263.24 | $0.380 | $108.59 | +$8.59 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100.56 | +$0.56 |
 Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? | Yes | 60.98 | $0.820 | $60.64 | +$10.64 |
 Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.550 | $60 | -$50 |
 Government shutdown by October 1? | No | 56.97 | $0.702 | $56.49 | +$16.49 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | Yes | 131.97 | $0.758 | $54.11 | -$45.89 |
 Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 58.43 | $0.873 | $53.76 | +$2.76 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 50 | $0.810 | $49.28 | +$8.78 |
| buy |
| 17.54 |
| $0.570 |
| $10 |
| 14h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | 19h ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 379.75 | $0.790 | $300 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 407.97 | $0.428 | $174.76 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 135.99 | $0.430 | $58.48 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 227.18 | $0.440 | $99.96 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 908.74 | $0.445 | $404.58 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 850 | $0.431 | $366.5 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 150 | $0.360 | $54 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 200 | $0.460 | $92 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 200 | $0.430 | $86 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 2.02K | $0.461 | $930.05 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 1.9K | $0.437 | $830.53 | 2d ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 103.63 | $0.965 | $100 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 714.43 | $0.700 | $500 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 244.42 | $0.409 | $100 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 864.27 | $0.694 | $600 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 909.09 | $0.550 | $500 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 895.87 | $0.558 | $500 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 702.58 | $0.712 | $500 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 224.11 | $0.610 | $136.66 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 35.05 | $0.600 | $21.03 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 600 | $0.530 | $317.76 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 288.76 | $0.656 | $189.51 | 5d ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 118.53 | $0.844 | $100 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 401.67 | $0.498 | $200 | 5d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 11.08 | $0.903 | $10 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 995.4 | $0.723 | $720 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 454.77 | $0.440 | $200 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 232.56 | $0.430 | $100 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | 5d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 131.97 | $0.758 | $100 | 7d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?No | buy | 236.46 | $0.964 | $227.95 | 8d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.760 | $114 | 9d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by September 25, 2026?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | 9d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?No | buy | 102 | $0.841 | $85.76 | 9d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?No | buy | 320 | $0.720 | $230.4 | 9d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.32 | $0.469 | $10 | 9d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 41.08 | $0.730 | $30 | 9d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | 9d ago |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 20.33 | $0.492 | $10 | 9d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 278.48 | $0.718 | $200 | 10d ago |