Analytics
Yes is at 45%, up 15 points from 30% when the market opened on 8 Aug 2026.
Across the 80 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 24 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 32%; a month before, 11%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 33% on 16 Oct 2026.
NVIDIA ranks second of the 9 outcomes in “2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?”. Apple leads at 48.5%; Alphabet is at 4.5%.
$5.93K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $28.16K since listing. The order book holds $28.76K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 427 trades, $3.8K bought Yes and $5.64K bought No; the largest was a $1.12K buy of Yes at 32.6¢.
The largest Yes position is SteveTheFish with 8.6K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 4.6K. Ten wallets hold 84.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 3:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 80 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 30.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 45.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SteveTheFish | Yes | 8.64K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.6K |
| e46m3 | No | 2.72K |
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-december-2026
| 35066FE58fe |
| Yes |
| 943 |
| Hauchn | Yes | 692.45 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 599.99 |
| Haradwaith | No | 568.9 |
| balthazar | Yes | 510 |
| bZk0Uo | No | 476.34 |
| chaosj88 | No | 423.2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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