Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Across the 81 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 73.5% on 10 Oct 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 13 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 56.5%; a month before, 65.5%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 47.5% on 16 Oct 2026.

Apple ranks second of the 9 outcomes in “2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?”. NVIDIA leads at 45.5%; Alphabet is at 4.5%.

$1.37K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $20.84K since listing. The order book holds $9.1K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $5.38K bought Yes and $1.96K bought No.

The largest Yes position is Tonymountaina with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 4.6K. Ten wallets hold 74.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 63 days from now.